![]() Image by Dave Simonds The "Dunning-Kruger Effect" -- Fact or Science Fiction? They're not exactly "Dewey, Cheetham and Howe" (Fictional Attorneys at Law) but have certainly brought that team to mind. They double-handedly inspired this CBC headline: How ignorance makes us cocky It's actually a year-old CBC article, but it was updated on May 1/20, apparently to render it relevant to the ongoing Covid insanity. It's about a couple of university research artists who've worked hard at making two names for themselves and finally succeeded. They're in the bigtime now! Joined at the hip, they are definitely cocky about their "effect".
Well, call me Dunning-Kruger-Stupid, but that sentence makes no sentence. I think there should be a "from" before the words "being uninformed". But maybe I'm over-confident as was, obviously, my very strict English teacher. My, my; so much babble and repetition of the names "Dunning-Kruger" - did you get that? Look at Dunning's photo. Does he look a bit "cocky" to you? Methinks he'd fail more than a few of his own tests. It seems a bit dumb to call it "the Dunning-Kruger Effect" since the phrase suggests it's these two guys creating the effect. Could it be they really are? Through the power of suggestion, perhaps? Look at the graph they created. I mean, if they could create a graph that looks like a skipping rope with a tall person at one end and a short person at the other end, then by golly, they must be brilliant. Al Gore could take lessons from those guys. They certainly get high marks for their ultra confidence, and they do love the sound of their own names conjoined. Dunning-Kruger, Dunning-Kruger, DUNNING-KRUGER. Listen up, everybody; look at us! We're not just having an effect; we ARE an effect. But what is the real point being sidled up to here? Ah, yes ... supporting "science"; specifically vaccines. Now why would they be doing that at this particular point in time? Can't help wondering where they get their funding? Neither can I.
Given their all-too apparent prejudice in favour of vaccines, how can anyone be sure their test is scientifically valid? Note the weasel words: "About"; "tend". Sounds like guesswork to me. By whom has it been shown that "About" a third of Americans "believe they know as much about vaccines and vaccination" as "experts" and "scientists" ... ? Well, by the great Dunning-Kruger duo, of course, once they've had their "effect". I bet those guys can tap-dance too. Could it be that D-K are prime examples of their own theory? I mean, doesn't it "take one to know one"? You can't fool me, D-K. I personally know little about vaccines, never having had one, but I do know that a lot of money has been paid out to Americans who formerly trusted science right up until their child was damaged by a vaccine. That's pretty much all anyone needs to know to be rendered cautious. Take Bill Gates, for example (please, God, take him). He doesn't know everything that's in vaccines, and he's currently not hurting anybody except Black African kids. So that's okay, eh? It's not surprising that the U.S. now wants to end vaccine injury compensation payments. Are they anticipating Covid vaccine injuries? If so, and if the vaccine is made mandatory for all, that's way too much money for injury compensation. Canada has never given a hoot about whether or not a person has been injured by a vaccine. But, like the Effect duo, the gummint (adverse effects following immunization) does turn out a lovely graph on the subject (Jan 1 - June 30 - 2019). *See the graph at the bottom of this page. Be sure to read what it says under "other events". So there's that and the fact that too many "experts" have been found to be politically motivated. Universities are hotbeds of cut-throat politics. Jordan Peterson: It is nothing less than a dire day when the proud revelation of vices of deadly and multifarious seriousness serve to substitute for announcements of genuine and valuable achievement, but that is where we are at—make no mistake about it. "Publish or perish" makes idiots of even the most well-meaning. But I smell a couple of inveterate political lab rats of the show-biz genre. If D-K are not heavily invested in the Corona bonanza, i.e., vaccine stocks, they maybe should think seriously about that instead of about what others think of them and their amazing "everybody else but us and the vaccine makers is stupid" act. They should at least test Bill Gates with their theory. If he's not way too full of himself, considering the damage he's contemplating, then nobody is, and the D-K team (ooh, sounds like "decay team") needs to find another attention-getting hobby. I always like to take a look at the comments on CBC tripe because they often make me smile, and one needs a reason to smile in this age of "expert" demoralization. John Fairview: Interesting article, reminds me of a quote “Research is what I’m doing when I don’t know what I’m doing.” Wernher von Braun Also reminds me of something my father used to say: "I've only been wrong once in my life; it was one time when I thought I was wrong." Image: from Gov't of Canada website: stats on vaccine injury.
13 Comments
M.R.
19/7/2020 04:13:55 pm
I knew I knew too little about the disease process and the more I read the more I felt I needed to read more. I still have only a modicum of confidence I understand the subject. Both dumbed-down non-experts and dubious experts should humbly join me at the bottom of that skipping rope graph when reality, un-biased research and experience challenge either their ignorance or intransigence but sadly that's just not how the world works these days. The success of the mind-bending agenda is far and deep.
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yayacanada
19/7/2020 07:06:34 pm
Hi M.R., just finished watching that long conversation. I eventually fell asleep, but not for long. Then they got talking about how to survive the craziness, and that kept me very alert. Kaufman talked about Neil Kramer, so I've downloaded some of his stuff as well, though I'm a bit leery of any kind of guru. Have to find a way to get through this madness without feeling angry 1/3 of the time, sad another 1/3 and noticing the humour with what's left.
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M.R.
19/7/2020 10:30:30 pm
I spent most of the afternoon watching that video in short spurts while doing other things. Dr. Barre Lando was too technical at times for me but I did learn one new word -- mucor. Afraid I don't have an inclination to guru-think. When conversation gets into transcendental territory I just can't follow it. Besides I doubt I could ever blank out my mind since it has been filled with continuous tinnitus interference my entire life -- that's the sound of silence for me.
yayacanada
19/7/2020 11:05:11 pm
Just came back from reading your comment at Penny's about the farmers' market. It's indoors, I take it. I'm thinking that Kingston's market square one (outdoors) might be okay for me to try out tomorrow.
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M.R.
20/7/2020 12:17:15 am
Our summer market is outdoors. Vendors set up awnings for some rain protection is all. I'll let you know how it goes. It was bloody inconsiderate to shut it down without warning. I don't know how many vendors will come back given they don't make much money anyway and they've got a list of rules to follow too -- might be too much hassle for them. If the vegetable stand and the Hutterites aren't there we'll not be either.
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yayacanada
20/7/2020 08:26:08 am
Yeah, I heard about those guns. I've been wondering if that's what my dentist is using because he's taking temps too. I told him I won't be back until I don't have to wear a mask in the waiting room. He knows I'm stubborn. ;-)
yaya
20/7/2020 11:09:52 am
Just came back from a walk overtown. No market to be seen. Lots of masks, though.
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James
20/7/2020 08:04:21 pm
Hi Yaya
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yaya
20/7/2020 10:03:50 pm
Hi James: Yeah, a lot of people think science is also an art. That's the trouble with science -- and with art.
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James
21/7/2020 10:46:28 am
Speaking of psychology. Here is an interesting article I found on how the British Government is using behavior modification techniques in the time of Covid. I find it deeply disturbing but not at all surprising. I suspect our health departments have cut and paste this report into their response mechanisms.
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yaya
21/7/2020 11:21:18 am
<... this document from the British government's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies shows us that science is, in fact, being used during the pandemic, it's just that it's behavioural science aimed at changing our behaviours and making us more amenable to societal changes that we may not otherwise have accepted. >
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M.R.
23/7/2020 06:24:48 pm
Hi Yaya!
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yayacanada
23/7/2020 08:12:26 pm
Yeah, it's almost like at the very beginning of the panic when people started stockpiling. I'm doing the same thing now that I can shop again, buying more than I really need. Dollarama will let me shop there at 9 am, so I can get some things I could't find at Shopper's. I'm not getting much fresh stuff, but frozen is okay with me for the time being. Got some fresh baby carrotts at Shoppers, though, so that's a treat, and bananas. I can survive quite well until the madness subsides.
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